Look, I don’t want Obama as President of the USA. He coddles the criminals who brought us to the brink of a depression, he does a poor job of running this economy, his foreign policy has to be one of the worst to ever be conducted by any administration and he has made many mistakes regarding Israel and its neighbors.
However, based on what the Republicans have done over the past several months, it seems almost certain that Obama will win re-election. There will simply be far too many American who are going to vote against the Republicans just for the principle of showing them.
The Republicans right now are giving Romney, their best bet because he’s a stable moderate with a strong track record in business and politics, the cold shoulder. He simply can’t get the hard-core party members who take the primaries seriously to support him in large numbers. This suggests that he won’t be strongly supported if he receives the nomination. Theoretically, he could be Obama’s most serious challenger, but it looks like the Republicans keep looking for alternatives. A tepid party behind a nominee guarantees a loss in the election. McCain is an example of this.
The Republicans are warming up to Gingrich, but he’s a loose cannon who talks openly of using force against the judiciary if it doesn’t rule according to his views. I doubt he could win the nomination, but if he becomes the candidate, Obama will crush him by playing up his inconsistencies, his infidelities, and his rabid views. He’ll simply scare America into rejecting him.
Right now it looks as if none of the other candidates can pull themselves out of the pack, although Ron Paul may pull an upset. Ron Paul could be dangerous for Obama but I think he’s got enough baggage that Obama will defeat him. I also just don’t see him getting the nomination in the first place. Who is left? Right now, nobody. Perry, Bachman and Santorum are too far to the right or just too stupid, Huntsman is running for VP, not P, and Palin isn’t even bothering.
But that isn’t what’s going to make Obama a second term Prez. What’s going to do it is that the Republicans are bad for the USA.
The Republicans seem so obsessed with destroying Obama’s presidency, much like they tried with Clinton, that they’ve forgotten that their job is to represent their districts and their voters, not only their benefactors. This is why in July they brought the US economy unnecessarily to a halt and damaged the American credit rating over the debt ceiling debate. There was no reason to go there and even if there was, this had to be one of the worst times ever to try. The economy, in shambles, was finally beginning to pick up steam, and over an ideological fight, these jokers put the USA on a cliff and actually pushed it over. Yes, they pulled everyone back at the last minute, but the recklessness of the move made the economy move backward for several months and damaged many businesses which were beginning to see some light.
The Republicans repeated their stupidity this week by refusing to come to a deal that would have extended critical middle class tax breaks, critical medicare and medicaid subsidies and critical unemployment benefits. First they fought this by decrying the Democratic attempt to pay for the extension by taxing the well under-taxed wealthiest of the wealthiest Americans. Forget the 1%, this tax might have hit the 0.1% of Americans. Yet there they were, the Republicans, ready to protect that sliver of the population which doesn’t need protecting or tax relief. Then, the Dems relented on the tax break for the wealthiest but demanded the breaks be maintained, at least for the next two months. The Republicans refused.
According to one NPR report, a Republican congressman was quoted as saying this was a game of high stakes poker. It’s very nice that he can play poker with people’s livelihoods – people who are desperate – and it’s nice that he can play poker with the economy which benefits from the small amount of money these tax breaks and benefits provide. However, he and the rest of the Republicans in Congress can rest quietly knowing that today they sealed their fate as a party in 2012.
They have opened the door wide for the Democrats not only to win back many seats in Congress, but almost certainly the presidency. After all, Obama has been playing it for months that he’s trying to create jobs and the Republicans have been helping him show that they’re the party of obstruction. And they won’t be able to make the claim that they did it because they are fiscally responsible. Any party that does what they did in July and again this past week is not just the enemy of the US economy, but the enemy of every family and every person who is not wealthy – and even some of those folks have been harmed.
Oh, and by the way, unless Europe has a meltdown, the US economy will show growth and some recovery this year which will be reflected in Obama’s voter response in November.
The Jewish community should take heed. This is going to be a Democratic second term and possibly also a very strong showing in the Houses. It is unwise to attack this administration so fervently that if they are re-elected they feel as if they can ignore Jewish support and supporters.
Oh, and the Israeli government should take note. A second-term Obama will feel quite free to let loose on Israel in a way that we all suspect he would have already if it weren’t for his concern about Jewish voters and supporters leaving him in 2012. A second-term President has nothing to lose in his last couple of years and just as Bush thought he could cram everything related to the Arab-Israeli attempts at peace into his last 18 months in office, Obama is likely to experiment with his views. And he’s not an admirer of Israel.