Last week we ran Israel’s election 50,000 times. On election night we checked that forecast against the exit polls. Now the real ballots are in, and the number that matters most...
Tag - Avigdor Liberman
We Called the Deadlock: How Our Israel Election Forecast Did, Part 1
Last Friday we ran Israel’s election 50,000 times and said the most likely outcome was a deadlock: nobody gets to 61 seats. Tonight at 10 pm the exit polls came out, and that’s what they...
Who Will Win Israel’s Election? We Ran It 50,000 Times
Israel’s 2026 election is on Tuesday, October 27, and here is the short version of the polls: almost certainly, nobody wins outright. We did an all hands on deck situation to figure out...
Same Story, Bigger Screen: NAZA and the Treason That Wasn’t, Until It Was
I haven’t seen NAZA. I mention this up front because it seems to be the one thing I have in common with nearly everyone in Israel who is currently furious about it. The film hasn’t...
Macklemore Sells Golf Pants. We Made Him a Martyr.
Macklemore said two words at the MetLife stadium and lost a tour. Yuval Abraham won a prize in Venice for NAZA and a minister came for his citizenship. I am a Zionist and I am asking my own people to...
Likud and Israel Beitenu to Unite Ahead of Elections
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman, in a joint press conference today, announced that they were uniting the Likud and Yisrael Beiteinu under one ticket...