Last week we ran Israel’s election 50,000 times. On election night we checked that forecast against the exit polls. Now the real ballots are in, and the number that matters most...
Tag - Netanyahu
We Called the Deadlock: How Our Israel Election Forecast Did, Part 1
Last Friday we ran Israel’s election 50,000 times and said the most likely outcome was a deadlock: nobody gets to 61 seats. Tonight at 10 pm the exit polls came out, and that’s what they...
Who Will Win Israel’s Election? We Ran It 50,000 Times
Israel’s 2026 election is on Tuesday, October 27, and here is the short version of the polls: almost certainly, nobody wins outright. We did an all hands on deck situation to figure out...
Bibi: The Supreme Court Can’t Pick October 7th Investigators Because They are All Leftists. Are They Though?
This post exists because my mother screamed at me on the phone. She asked who I was voting for, and before I could get a word in she told me, in no uncertain terms: “We are Likud!!” My...
A Defensible Call, a Terrible Meeting, and Cenk: What the Leaked CBS Tape Actually Shows
On the third anniversary of October 7, CBS News ran a piece by veteran correspondent Holly Williams on its evening newscast. Before it aired, the network’s new foreign editor rewrote parts of...
Thank God for Rude Israelis: Everything We Know About flydubai Flight FZ1073
Let’s be honest about something. Israelis are terrible on airplanes. I say this with love, as someone who has flown in and out of Ben Gurion more times than I can count. The plane hasn’t...
Our Post wins the 2026 David Twersky Journalism Award
Last Thursday, at the American Jewish Press Association‘s 45th Annual Simon Rockower Awards Reception and Dinner in New York, I received the David Twersky Journalism Award for Is Israel Losing...
No Netanyahu Did Not Win Because of Fear or Hatred; The Left Just Plain Lost
– – As promised, here is my analysis of the reactions to Tuesday’s national elections held in Israel and of why the parties either succeeded or failed. I was especially bothered by the...